What are the best betting strategies to follow right now?

Every year we rank the best betting strategies by profit, yield, drawdown and Betaminic rating. Here we can see the long term winning strategies and also see some new strategy ideas that have been successful. In this article we will highlight the top performing strategies and show how they can work together in a multi-strategy betting system. With big data from the Betamin Builder tool, we can easily see what worked historically and follow those strategies for the best chance of success in the future.

What is Betaminic and its Betamin Builder Tool?

The Betaminic website provides a tool called the “Betamin Builder” that has a database of over 10 years of football statistics and matching bookmaker odds covering 111 leagues around the world. This means that you can backtest betting strategy ideas very easily with real historical bookmaker odds. So if you can find a betting strategy that has worked long term historically, then you can reasonably expect that such a betting strategy has more chance of making profit than a betting system that has not been independently backtested yourself (like many paid tipsters and other betting systems for sale out there).

What are the Public Strategies?

Betaminic has been around for a while now and many users share their strategies on the “public strategies” page inside the Betamin Builder. It is free to sign up and look at those strategies. In the beginning, it is probably easier to just follow the most successful publicly shared strategies. And then you can start to create your own private strategies later on if you get inspired to do so. The strategies can be ranked in many ways, such as by profit and loss, yield, drawdown and other factors. We also have our own “Betaminc rating” that we use to make it easier to see which strategies are performing the best. The Betaminc rating is the default order that the public strategies are listed in. So the easiest way to start is to click on the “follow” button for a few of the top ranking strategies that you like the look of. In this article, we rank those public strategies and explain them in a bit more detail so you can see which strategies are performing the best right now. Sign Up for free to access the Betamin Builder here.

6 Ranking Tables in this article

 

  • Top 10 by Profit

  • Top 10 by Yield

  • Top 10 by Max. Drawdown

  • Top 10 by Betaminic Rating

  • Top 10 by Big Data

  • Overall Top 10

General Ranking Rules

We have only included strategies that:

  • Have a yield of 3% or more in their “Since shared” data set.
  • Have more than 100 bets in their “Since shared” data set

There are more than 500 publicly shared strategies at the moment. In order to make the rankings more meaningful we have excluded strategies that have a yield of less than 3% in their “Since shared” period of data. Why is the “Since shared” period important? The “Since shared” period has the results of the strategy since it was shared publicly. This means that the strategy has not been edited or changed since that point. We can see very clearly what results would have been achieved if the betting strategy rules that were set had been followed. When researching strategies it is important to avoid data mining (cherry picking good results from the data) and to find real trends and patterns in the historical data. A very simple way is to confirm this is to look at the “Since shared” results and see they are positive and the trend is continuing. We also exclude strategies with less than 100 bets in their “Since shared” results data set. This is because we feel that less than 100 bets is not enough to say with confidence whether a strategy is continuing the trend that was researched. With these 2 filters, we then rank the remaining 75 strategies that meet these requirements. This does however mean that a number of the recently updated strategies with the expanded 111 league database have not yet reached enough bets to be included in these rankings, but it does not mean that those updated strategies are bad strategies. If we see that their original strategies are ranked highly in 2021, then we can be encouraged that the updated strategies will also continue to take advantage of the profitable trend being followed, with the advantage of following it in more leagues.

Table Key

AR = All Results

SS = Since Shared

The ranking tables display the data from both the All Results and Since Shared periods. You can see them by the AR or SS in their column headers.

Note: these are the results until 8/02/2022. Current results may change.

Top 10 by Profit

 

wdt_ID Strategy (User Name)  Bet Type Rating SS Bets SS Av.Picks/Month SS  Av.Odds SS P&L SS Yield SS MaxDD AR MaxDD
1  No Draws Medium Streak - Both Teams (Maxi) Draw 100 453 15 3.34 89.41 19.74 -16.84 -33.07
2  Not home on. (Adebola) Home Win 27 722 35 4.04 87.72 12.15 -34.23 -60.45
3  deneme (GrandEkinoks) Underdog 24 301 9 6.34 76.22 25.32 -13.28 -26.52
4  Contend UD (Misbe91) Home Win 19 611 26 3.66 68.49 11.21 -26.45 -26.45
5  Colossus 06 Scoring Away Overs (Betaminic) Over 2.5 goals 82 1,056 28 1.90 67.90 6.43 -18.84 -23.88
6  HOMES YENİ SHARE (GrandEkinoks) Home Win 17 674 18 3.52 66.52 9.87 -25.62 -25.62
7  Home Team Recent Streak: Few Draws (Maxi) Draw 8 1,316 48 3.07 62.63 4.76 -36.13 -37.57
8  away wins (Bastian) Away Win 9 635 18 4.57 61.54 9.69 -41.65 -41.65
9 ALL LEAGUES Home Team bad streak Home Win 4 1,740 33 4.07 52.75 3.03 -64.61 -64.61
10  Golden6.6 – Draws are in late 2.0 (Betaminic) Draw 100 174 21 3.37 52.33 30.07 -8.00 -43.83

 

Profits No.1:  +89.41 points         No Draws Medium Streak – Both Teams by User Maxi

 

This stunning draw backing strategy by User Maxi was shared in May 2019 and has been made an impressive +89.41 points from 453 bets in almost 3 years with an above average 19.74% yield. The core idea behind it looks for matches where there have not been draws in the short term but excludes matches that show long term drawless runs. It also looks for matches with few goals expected. Together with finding the most efficient odds bands for this strategy, it has created some excellent results that puts it at the top of the Betaminic profit rankings. It has a Betaminic rating of 100 and has held that high rating for a long period of time. This is a great example of a big data strategy working the way we want it to. Looking at the profit graph we can see a gradual increase with flat periods, negative periods and growth periods, with the overall result being an upward trend. If we look at the monthly results, we can see clearly that it often has winning runs of 2-3 months and losing runs of 1-2 months. We really want to highlight this point that with this style of betting system, we must think long term and we must be prepared for losing runs that last months, not days. It needs a long term mentality and staking plan to get through those flat and negative months in order to make the most of the winning months. These are the results with level stakes, but the right staking plan can get even more out of it. We can also see the very profitable months coming after losing months or a period of flat months. This strategy has an All Results Maximum Drawdown of -33 which suggests even betting 3% of the bank would be a reasonable staking plan to start with. That would triple the profits shown with 1 point levels takes. This strategy only generates 15 bets per month, and so is easy to follow by anyone. It would take less than 15 minutes each month to place those bets after the alert emails are received. The alert emails for future picks are sent around 48 hours before kick-off, so there is plenty of time to get those bets on.

There is an updated version of this strategy “No Draws Medium Streak – Both Teams (Updated 2021-11-15) All 111 leagues” that produces 21 picks per month across all 111 leagues covered by Betaminic. This strategy is currently +6.32 points in profit after 65 bets with a yield of 9.72%. So it is also showing good performance. The original version “No Draws Medium Streak – Both Teams” was created with the old 54 league database. Both versions of this strategy are highly recommended.

Profits No.2:  +87.72 points         Not home on. by User Adebola

 

This home team backing strategy was shared in August 2020 and has been running for over one a half years. It has made +87.72 points profit in that time after 722 bets with a 12.15% yield. It basically backs underdogs at home with poor recent form when they play an away team that isn’t a super strong favourite in terms of long term away form. This ends up with betting on higher than normal home odds and can have longer losing runs as a result of natural variance. Its low 30% win rate gives it a lower hit rate than draw betting. A really big positive factor to highlight is the number of bets that this strategy has placed since being shared. 722 bets! It has maintained a 12% yield after 712 bets. This is an incredibly strong performance when most professional bettors might be hoping to find strategies with long term ROI in the 5% area.  This strategy produces an average of 35 bets per month which is an easy amount to manage. It would not require too much time to place the bets for this strategy when the alert emails come in. Looking at the long term profit graph we can see that it had a flat 6 month run after first being shared but then had some big winning months that helped it jump up over the 50 point mark. When compared with the previous top ranked strategy, the losing months of one of the strategies are often covered by the winning months of the other strategy. This is a reason why we would consider spreading risk by following multiple strategies in an aggregated set of strategies.

Profits No.3:  +76.22 points         deneme by User GrandEkinoks

 

Deneme was in the top rankings last year as well. It backs away teams that are not strong favourites but have a decent long term away record against a home team that is not a fortress. The profit graph shows jumps in profit and then slow declines before the next jump. With much higher average odds of 6.24, this is to be expected. The win rate is just 22%, so we would have to be mentally prepared that 4 out of every 5 bets in this strategy are expected to lose. That can be a tough thing for a bettor to watch. If you were following a tipster than only won 22 out of every 100 bets, would you continue to follow them? This is another important aspect to understand when it comes to big data betting and following value trends long term. The strategies do not expect every pick to win. They expect that if the average win rate of 22% continues, then backing away teams that fit these filters has a good chance of continuing to make profit in the future. This is because the odds for these teams are above their real, fair value. This is often due to that bet being unpopular and the betting public backing the home team, thus pushing the away prices up and into value zones. By backing these value picks long term, we have a better chance for profit. This strategy has a maximum drawdown of -60 in its All Results data. This means we should only bet 1% or 1 point of our bank on its picks since historically it has had long losing runs at times. However, despite those long losing runs, it still came out in profit. Fixtures with high away odds have a higher chance of price differences across bookmakers and exchanges since it is an unpopular bet. So with this kind of strategy, it can really change the long term profits if you spend a few extra moments to check odds comparison websites and place bets at the bookmaker with the best odds that you have an account with. Pinnacle and Betfair Exchange often have the best odds, but with high odds away games, even they can be beaten by other bookmakers who have misjudged this value pick. So it is very important to compare the market odds when following this strategy.

Profits No.4-10

 Contend UD by User Misbe91 has had a high Betaminic rating for a long time during 2021. Its core idea is slightly similar to “Not Home on.” in that it backs home teams with poor recent form. Since the home team will not have an appealing recent form for the public market, its odds may drift higher than their true value. This gives an opportunity for long term profits.

Colossus 06 Scoring Away Overs by Betaminic is a long, long term winner. It has been in the top rankings every year in 2018, 2019, 2020 and now again in 2021. It does have long flat and sometimes negative runs, but over the long term it has generated +67 points after 1,056 bets with a yield of 6.43%. That is a really solid performance after over 1,000 bets. Its win rate of 56% makes it a comfortable strategy to follow. 2021 included a 6 month flat period, but it has come back into profitable months again recently. This strategy is highly recommended and should be one of the first ones on any big data bettor’s portfolio list. Its low Maximum Drawdown of -23.88 since 2012 is very soothing for the nerves, too. This strategy has also been updated to use the new expanded database as “Colossus 06 Away Scoring Overs 34 of 111 leagues (2021-9- 23)”. It has been running since September 2021 and has made +10.6 points after 157 bets with a 6.75% yield. This is the same as the original strategy and it is a very good sign that the same strategy settings that worked for the original 54 league database also work for the 111 league database. The update Colossus 06 only uses 34 of those leagues, and is finding about 34 value bets per month in them.

HOMES YENİ SHARE by User GrandEkinoks was in the top rakings of 2019, had a flat 2020 and then has started moving up again in 2021. This is another strategy that has a core idea of backing unfancied home teams with poor recent home form.  This user, GrandEkinoks, is a long term veteran on Betaminic and has created a number of strategies that have performed well, so we think it is worth taking a closer look at any strategy they have shared.

Home Team Recent Streak: Few Draws by User Maxi is another draw backing strategy, but in this case it is looking for matches that are expected to be quite open affairs and 0-0 or 1-1 seen as a likely draw result. Backing those 2 scores in the Correct Score market could also be another way to take advantage of this draw trend.

Away wins by User Bastian is another long term winner. It has appeared in the top rankings 3 times in 2018, 2020 and 2021. It backs away teams that are not strong favourites but also not long shots. It uses a filter of looking for away teams with poor recent away form in the hopes of getting value odds from unfancied away teams that actually do have a chance. This strategy has a large Maximum Drawdown of -41.65 that actually came in its Since Shared period. That means that one of its losing runs actually exceeded its historical worst losing run. Despite that, it is still in profit and doing well with a 9% yield after over 635 bets which is very respectable. Since it taps into a different kind of trend to the other draw and home win trends that the previous strategies have found, then it may be worth considering adding into a portfolio of strategies to spread risk.

ALL LEAGUES Home Team bad streak / TODAS las LIGAS Equipo Local mala racha by Betaminic is one of the original strategies that Betaminic shared back in January 2018 over 4 years ago. It obviously inspired the above “Home team bad streak” style of strategies that have developed this idea and found even better trends. This is one of the benefits of users sharing their strategies. The profitable strategies inspire others and even better trends can be discovered. This strategy has made 52 points profit after 1,740 bets with a 3.03% yield. Considering the margin of bookmakers intends to make this a -4% ROI long term for the bookmaker profits, this strategy has managed to overturn that bookmaker margin by 7% and beat the bookmaker over the 4 year period. This strategy has had long ups and downs, but it is another great example of the benefits of sticking with strategies that you understand the core concept of and believe in that methodology.

Golden6.6 – Draws are in late 2.0 by Betaminic was created in consultation with Maxi, the draw system expert. This is another strategy backing the draw in a fixture that features teams that have not had many draws for a long period of time. It has had an impressive run in 2021 and also tops the 2021 Top 10 Yields table.

Top 10 by Yield

 

wdt_ID Strategy (User Name)  Bet Type Rating SS Bets SS Av.Picks/Month SS Av.Odds SS P&L SS Yield SS MaxDD AR MaxDD
1  Golden6.6 – Draws are in late 2.0 (Betaminic) Draw 100 174 21 3.37 52.33 30.07 -8.00 -43.83
2  TOM WHITAKER BSG 16 Draw Due (twsystem1bm) Draw 44 154 14 3.34 40.61 26.37 -9.73 -17.27
3  deneme (GrandEkinoks) Underdog 24 301 9 6.34 76.22 25.32 -13.28 -26.52
4  Draws are in late - All Leagues (Maxi) Draw 23 175 30 3.38 37.25 21.29 -13.01 -32.96
5  No Draws Medium Streak - Both Teams (Maxi) Draw 100 453 15 3.34 89.41 19.74 -16.84 -33.07
6  Colossus 17 Dog Draw (Updated 2021-11-17) (Betaminic) Draw 36 275 79 3.15 48.71 17.71 -13.74 -61.78
7  Gana Local (hank2182) Home Win 14 204 7 3.54 35.05 17.18 -16.73 -21.85
8  Underestimated Underdog 30 of 111 leagues 4%+ yields (twsystem1bm) Underdog 6 148 27 4.53 23.56 15.92 -23.44 -44.93
9  U2.5 draw odds (Luckyluke) Under 2.5 goals 19 110 25 1.96 16.74 15.22 -8.63 -18.85
10  Sayar's Under 2.5 (A1) (SayarKyaw) Under 2.5 goals 25 116 6 1.82 16.74 14.43 -9.95 -11.43

 

Yield No.1:  Golden6.6 – Draws are in late 2.0 by Betaminic

 

Golden6.6 – Draws are in late 2.0 by Betaminic was created in consultation with Maxi, the draw system expert. This is another strategy backing the draw in a fixture that features teams that have not had many draws for a long period of time. One of the key filters is that it looks for games with no clear favourite, which is ripe for a draw. It has an impressive 30% yield in its Since Shared period. It has placed 174 bets which is considerably over the 100 bet mark that we feel comfortable making judgements about. In the past year it has only had 1 losing month. This suggests the bookmaker model and the public market really have this type of game priced wrongly.

Yield No.2:  TOM WHITAKER BSG 16 Draw Due by User twsystem1bm

 

TOM WHITAKER BSG 16 Draw Due by User twsystem1bm is exactly the same as “No Draws Medium Streak – Both Teams” by User Maxi. It was created as part of a set of 18 strategies that worked together as a unified system that did not overlap, the BSG-18.

Yield No.3:  deneme by User GrandEkinoks

This strategy ranked 3rd in the Top 10 strategies by Profit and also comes 3rd in the Top 10 Yields with its impressive 25% ROI.

Yield No.4-10:  

Draws are in late – All Leagues by User Maxi is exactly the same as the Golden6.6 – Draws are in late 2.0 which also appears in the Top 10 Profit rankings.

No Draws Medium Streak – Both Teams by User Maxi also appears in the Top 10 Profit rankings.

Colossus 17 Dog Draw (Updated 2021-11-17) by Betaminic is an updated version of the Colossus 17 Dog Draw strategy from Tom Whitaker’s Winning Betting Strategies book. It has had some great results with the expanded 111 league database. Its core idea is very simple. It backs the draw in certain leagues where there is no strong favourite and thus a higher chance of the draw. Its 17.89% yield after 277 bets is very impressive. If not following this strategy exactly, it may be a good base for further research and improvement.

Gana Local by hank2182 is another strategy betting against the trend by backing home teams with poor recent home form. It has a solid 17% yield after 204 bets.

Underestimated Underdog 30 of 111 leagues 4%+ yields by User twsystem1bm backs the underdog in matches where both teams have above average form in the last 20 games. It has a 15% yield after 150 bets. It sometimes backs the home team and sometimes the away team.

U2.5 draw odds by User Luckyluke backs the under 2.5 goals bet in matches where over 2.5 goals are expected by the market. It goes against the trend by backing matches between teams that have been scoring goals in their recent games. After 110 bets it has a 15% yield.

Sayar’s Under 2.5 (A1) by User SayarKyaw backs the under 2.5 goal bet in matches where the away team is the favourite and the away team also has a good defensive record with 0-1 or 0-2 expected. Since the home team knows they are the underdogs, if they do get a goal, they will likely hang onto their 1-0 lead and play defensively, even settling for a 1-1 if the away side do equalize. This is a match with many under 2.5 goal scenarios. After 116 bets it boasts a 14% yield.

Top 10 by Max. Drawdown

 

wdt_ID Strategy (User Name)  Bet Type Rating SS Bets SS Av.Picks/Month SS Av.Odds SS P&L SS Yield SS MaxDD AR MaxDD
1  TOM WHITAKER BSG 14 Two Dogs DC12 (twsystem1bm) 12 26 182 16 1.33 12.77 7.02 -3.55 -9.60
2  x 4 + (luisbang) Over 2.5 goals 6 221 9 1.97 14.98 6.78 -10.74 -10.74
3  Sayar's Under 2.5 (A1) (SayarKyaw) Under 2.5 goals 25 116 6 1.82 16.74 14.43 -9.95 -11.43
4  UNDER MİN 2 YENİ STRATEJİ (GrandEkinoks) Under 2.5 goals 3 240 7 2.00 8.35 3.48 -11.92 -11.92
5  No draw strategy (hattrick) 12 20 504 23 1.33 20.38 4.04 -7.53 -13.24
6  OVER MİN 2 YENİ STRATEJİ (GrandEkinoks) Over 2.5 goals 6 288 8 2.01 17.83 6.19 -13.86 -13.86
7  DENEME 8 YENİ STRATEJİ (GrandEkinoks) X2 6 319 10 2.07 19.04 5.97 -13.97 -13.97
8  e2 (JOSE ANTONIO) Favourite 7 229 6 2.33 19.47 8.50 -14.19 -14.19
9 Colossus 05 Against the Trend Overs AL (Updated 2020-07-04) Over 2.5 goals 5 189 10 2.08 12.43 6.58 -14.55 -14.55
10  right favourite (bettingpro) Favourite 9 172 11 2.05 16.76 9.74 -11.27 -15.75

 

Max. Drawdown No.1: TOM WHITAKER BSG 14 Two Dogs DC12 by User twsystem1bm

 

This strategy backs 2 teams in poor form. Both teams view this as a “6-pointer” match and will push for the win. In this way it is also a good LTD selection method. It has a very low Max Drawdown of -9.6 in its entire history of over 10 years of data. It has a very high win rate of 81% which makes it easy on the nerves to follow.

Max. Drawdown No.2:  x 4 + by User luisbang

 

This over 2.5 goals backing strategy was shared in August 2019 and has been running for over 2 and a half years. While it does have long flat patches, its overall trajectory is upward. Since April 2021 it is has seen a consistent growth. Its -10.74 maximum drawdown came in its Since Shared period which means it has experienced its worst run since it was shared, however even that was just -10.74 points. This is extremely low considering its 55% win rate. A +6.78% from 221 bets shows a good ROI level. It looks for games where the draw is not expected and goals are also expected. Neither team has had a long run of not scoring, so the fixture is framed nicely for goals. With such goal forecasting strategies, it is also possible to get more value out of the picks by placing extra bets on the pre-match over 1.5 goals market instead of simply increasing the stake sizes on the over 2.5 goals bet.

Max. Drawdown No.3: Sayar’s Under 2.5 (A1) by User SayarKyaw

 

Sayar’s Under 2.5 (A1) by User SayarKyaw backs the under 2.5 goal bet in matches where the away team is the favourite and the away team also has a good defensive record with 0-1 or 0-2 expected. Since the home team knows they are the underdogs, if they do get a goal, they will likely hang onto their 1-0 lead and play defensively, even settling for a 1-1 if the away side do equalize. This is a match with many under 2.5 goal scenarios. After 116 bets it boasts a 14% yield. It also appeared in the Top 10 Yield Table.

Max. Drawdown No.4-10:

UNDER MİN 2 YENİ STRATEJİ by User GrandEkinoks is an under 2.5 goals backing strategy that looks to bet against the very short term trend of over 2.5 goals in a match that is expected to have under 2.5 goals. This simple but effective strategy has a drawdown of just -11.92 that came in its Since Shared period. This is very low for a 53% win rate strategy.

No draw strategy by User hattrick is a Double Chance 12 backing strategy that looks for games where a draw is unlikely. It has an impressive 4% yield for such low average odds of 1.33. The Max drawdown is just -13.24. Another good point for this strategy is that it has over 500 bets in Since Shared data set to support that 4% yield and low Max. Drawdown.

OVER MİN 2 YENİ STRATEJ by User GrandEkinoks is another successful low Max. Drawdown strategy from the same user GrandEkinoks. He really seems to have built his system on a set of low Max. Drawdown strategies. Here he is betting on the over 2.5 goal bet in matches where the home and away team not been winning matches recently and overs is slightly more expected than unders by the markets despite a recent short term trend of unders. -13.86 is an impressive low Maximum Drawdown.

DENEME 8 YENİ STRATEJİ by User GrandEkinoks has been running for 3 years and is still showing a strong 5.97% yield after 319 bets. It bets on the Double Chance X2 draw or away win bet for teams where the away team is seen as stronger than the home team but the recent form is in favour of the home team, not the away team. This strategy’s Maximum Drawdown is -13.97.

e2 by User JOSE ANTONIO backs the favourite, usually the home team, when they are not odds on but have above average home form against an away team that is not a superpower. It catches home teams at decent above evens prices and keeps an amazing -14.19 Max Drawdown despite a 54% win rate and average odds of 2.32. Its +8% yield after over 200 bets makes it a good strategy to consider.

Colossus 05 Against the Trend Overs AL (Updated 2020-07-04) by Betaminic bets on the over 2.5 goals bet in matches where both teams have been involved in unders results in the recent form. Its Max. Drawdown of -14.55 is very good. It has a +6% yield after over 200 bets.

right favourite by User bettingpro is an interesting strategy that backs favourites that are coming off a bad run. So this is the game that they are expected to get back to winning ways in. It has a Maximum Drawdown of -15.75 which has not been exceeded in the Since Shared period.  It has a yield of 9.74% after 172 bets which is very strong.

Top 10 by Betaminic Rating

 

wdt_ID Strategy (User Name)  Bet Type Rating SS Bets SS Av.Picks/Month SS Av.Odds SS P&L SS Yield SS MaxDD AR MaxDD
1  No Draws Medium Streak - Both Teams (Maxi) Draw 100 453 15 3.34 89.41 19.74 -16.84 -33.07
2  Golden6.6 – Draws are in late 2.0 (Betaminic) Draw 100 174 21 3.37 52.33 30.07 -8.00 -43.83
3  Colossus 06 Scoring Away Overs (Betaminic) Over 2.5 goals 82 1,056 28 1.90 67.90 6.43 -18.84 -23.88
4  TOM WHITAKER BSG 16 Draw Due (twsystem1bm) Draw 44 154 14 3.34 40.61 26.37 -9.73 -17.27
5  Colossus 17 Dog Draw (Updated 2021-11-17) (Betaminic) Draw 36 275 79 3.15 48.71 17.71 -13.74 -61.78
6  Not home on. (Adebola) Home Win 27 722 35 4.04 87.72 12.15 -34.23 -60.45
7  Testing under 2.0 (renantrevisan) Under 2.5 goals 27 272 19 2.20 32.55 11.97 -13.14 -17.47
8  TOM WHITAKER BSG 14 Two Dogs DC12 (twsystem1bm) 12 26 182 16 1.33 12.77 7.02 -3.55 -9.60
9  Sayar's Under 2.5 (A1) (SayarKyaw) Under 2.5 goals 25 116 6 1.82 16.74 14.43 -9.95 -11.43
10  deneme (GrandEkinoks) Underdog 24 301 9 6.34 76.22 25.32 -13.28 -26.52

 

The Betaminic rating is a way we try to show that A) the strategy is in profit since it was created and shared, and also B) how likely the strategy is based on a real trend and not just a lucky good run. In complicated terms, the rating is connected to a strategy’s “p-value”. The P-Value is calculated based on a series of indicators, such as the number of bets, yield, average odds among others. In simple terms, the higher the rating, the better. The highest rating possible is 100.

Betaminic Rating No 1: No Draws Medium Streak – Both Teams by User Maxi

1st by profit, 5th by yield, now also 1st by Betaminic rating. This strategy is strong in many areas and gets the maximum rating of 100. This strongly suggests that the results are based on a real profitable trend and not just a lucky run.

Betaminic Rating No.2: Golden6.6 – Draws are in late 2.0 by Betaminic

1st by yield, 10th by profit and now also joint 1st by Betaminic rating. This strategy is strong in many areas and gets the maximum rating of 100.

Betaminic Rating No.3: Colossus 06 Scoring Away Overs by Betaminic

5th by profit, this strategy has been running for a long time and continues to give good results with a very high rating of 82.

Betaminic Rating No.4-10:

TOM WHITAKER BSG 16 Draw Due by User twsystem1bm – 2nd by yields and a rating of 44.

Colossus 17 Dog Draw (Updated 2021-11-17) by Betaminic – 6th by yields and a rating of 36.

Not home on. By User Adebola – 2nd by profit and a rating of 27.

Testing under 2.0 by User renantrevisan is a strategy that bets on the under 2.5 goals bet in matches with short term over 2.5 goals form. It has had good results and gets a rating of 27 due to its relatively high yield of 11% after 272 bets.

TOM WHITAKER BSG 14 Two Dogs DC12 by User twsystem1bm – 1st by Max. Drawdown and a rating of 26.

Sayar’s Under 2.5 (A1) by User SayarKyaw – 3rd by Max Drawdown and 10th by yield gets a rating of 25.

Deneme by User GrandEkinoks – 3rd by profit and 3rd by yield gets a rating of 24.

Top 10 by Big Data

 

wdt_ID Strategy (User Name)  Bet Type Rating SS Bets SS Av.Picks/Month SS Av.Odds SS P&L SS Yield SS MaxDD AR MaxDD
1 ALL LEAGUES Home Team bad streak Home Win 4 1,740 33 4.07 52.75 3.03 -64.61 -64.61
2  BIGAWAYW (Bnow) Away Win 8 1,462 49 1.98 45.12 3.09 -25.12 -33.97
3  Home Team Recent Streak: Few Draws (Maxi) Draw 8 1,316 48 3.07 62.63 4.76 -36.13 -37.57
4  Draw, both teams scored (McMcDonald) Draw 5 1,187 30 3.38 45.70 3.85 -39.36 -39.36
5  Colossus 06 Scoring Away Overs (Betaminic) Over 2.5 goals 82 1,056 28 1.90 67.90 6.43 -18.84 -23.88
6  Pro7 Bore Draw v2 (Betaminic) Draw 3 1,008 28 3.12 30.73 3.05 -32.44 -32.44
7  Not home on. (Adebola) Home Win 27 722 35 4.04 87.72 12.15 -34.23 -60.45
8  HOMES YENİ SHARE (GrandEkinoks) Home Win 17 674 18 3.52 66.52 9.87 -25.62 -25.62
9  Draw trend 2 (Serhii) Draw 3 673 24 3.60 21.77 3.23 -25.75 -25.75
10  DOUBE CHANCE (nirnouta50) 1X 6 655 17 2.75 33.74 5.15 -36.77 -36.77

 

This table ranks strategies that are in profit and have yields of more than 3% by the number of bets in their Since Shared data set. The more bets we have in their Since Shared data set, the more confident we can be that this trend is continuing long term and over a large number of matches. More than judging strategies by how long in terms of time they have kept producing profit, we should think about judging strategies by after how many bets they have kept producing profit. A strategy that produces 10% yield over 5 years but only has 100 bets (+10 points profit in 5 years) is much less useful than a strategy that produces 3% yield over 6 months but has had 1,000 bets (+30 points profit in 6 months). Overall, the lower yield – higher volume strategy produces more profit. If you are wanting to know “Which strategies have been working and making profit the longest?” then this big data ranking is the best way to see that.

Big Data No.1: ALL LEAGUES Home Team bad streak / TODAS las LIGAS Equipo Local mala racha by Betaminic

 

ALL LEAGUES Home Team bad streak / TODAS las LIGAS Equipo Local mala racha by Betaminic is one of the original strategies that Betaminic shared back in January 2018 over 4 years ago. It obviously inspired  a number of “home team bad streak” style of strategies that have developed this idea and found even better trends. This is one of the benefits of users sharing their strategies. The profitable strategies inspire others and even better trends can be discovered. This strategy has made 52 points profit after 1,740 bets with a 3.03% yield. Considering the margin of bookmakers intended to make this -4% ROI long term for the bookmaker profits, this strategy has managed to overturn that bookmaker margin by 7% and beat the bookmaker over the 4 year period. This strategy has had long ups and downs, but it is another great example of the benefits of sticking with strategies that you understand the core concept of and believe in that methodology.

Big Data No.2: BIGAWAYW by User Bnow

 

This strategy was created 2 years ago, but since it has nearly 50 picks per month, it has quickly become one of the old timers on the public strategies page with a massive 1,462 bets in its Since Shared period to support its solid trend that produces 3.09% yields. Very simply, it backs the away favourite in 10 specific leagues where the bookmaker model and the public market consistently get the prices wrong.

Big Data No.3: Home Team Recent Streak: Few Draws by User Maxi

 

Home Team Recent Streak: Few Draws by User Maxi is another draw backing strategy, but in this case it is looking for matches that are expected to be quite open affairs and 0-0 or 1-1 seen as a likely draw result. Backing those 2 scores in the Correct Score market could also be another way to take advantage of this draw trend. It has been working very well over a not insignificant 1,316 bets in its Since Shared period. More importantly, it has kept a yield of 4.76% in that time. That makes this strategy a very, very appealing one. Professional gamblers sometimes use 5% ROI as their annual target to be considered a decent year. This strategy is getting close to that. It does have flat patches and drops from peaks, but over the long term, it is moving forward.

Big Data No.4-10:

Draw, both teams scored by User McMcDonald backs the draw in games where the team are good at scoring goals, so a score draw can be expected. Backing the 1-1 or 2-2 in the correct score market adds another opportunity to add value to the strategy picks. This strategy has been going for over 3 years and has kept a 3.85% yield after 1,187 bets. Any strategy that gets past the 1,000 bet mark with yields near 4% is a significant achievement.

Colossus 06 Scoring Away Overs by Betaminic is another old-faithful with 1,056 bets over 3 and a half years. It did this with a 6.57% yield, making it the highest yielding strategy with over 1,000 bets under its belt.

Pro7 Bore Draw v2 by Betaminic was one of the strategies in the free strategy book “Big Data Betting” available here. This strategy filters in games where neither the home nor the away team has drawn recently. For the home team they have not drawn at least the previous game or more home or away; and for the away team they have not drawn the previous two of three games home or away, but may have drawn before that. The thinking behind this is that since the teams have not drawn recently, the odds for the draw may be higher than their true value. This has the same filters as the Colossus21 strategy 12 “Bore Draw”. It has been shared since September 2018 and has made 1.008 bets in that time with a 3.05% yield.

Not home on. By User Adebola – 2nd by profit, 5th by Betaminic rating and backed up by a solid amount of 722 bets Since Shared. The most stunning thing is that it has made a yield of 12.15% which is stunningly high after so many bets. This strategy really is a good one to have in your portfolio.

HOMES YENİ SHARE by User GrandEkinoks – 6th by profit and a 674 bets making a 9.87% yield which is the 2nd highest of the big data table stars.

Draw trend 2 by User Serhii is another draw backing strategy. It has a 3.23% yield after 673 bets.

DOUBE CHANCE by User nirnouta50 peaked in December 2020 with +60 points that has now fallen to +33 points 1 year later. Even with that fall it has a yield of 5.15% after 655 bets. The logic behind this strategy is good and we will likely see it move upward and retake the previous heights of +60 and then go further. It also makes use of the against the trend style of thinking by backing the Double Chance 1X home win or draw in matches where the home team has had poor recent form, but long term good form.

Overall Top 10

 

wdt_ID Strategy (User Name)  Bet Type Rating SS Bets SS Av.Picks/Month SS Av.Odds SS P&L SS Yield SS MaxDD AR MaxDD
1 Golden6.6 – Draws are in late 2.0 (Betaminic) Draw 100 174 21 3.37 52.33 30.07 -8.00 -43.83
2 No Draws Medium Streak - Both Teams (Maxi) Draw 100 453 15 3.34 89.41 19.74 -16.84 -33.07
3 Colossus 06 Scoring Away Overs (Betaminic) Over 2.5 goals 82 1,056 28 1.90 67.90 6.43 -18.84 -23.88
4 Not home on. (Adebola) Home Win 27 722 35 4.04 87.72 12.15 -34.23 -60.45
5 Testing under 2.0 (renantrevisan) Under 2.5 goals 27 272 19 2.20 32.55 11.97 -13.14 -17.47
6 TOM WHITAKER BSG 14 Two Dogs DC12 (twsystem1bm) 12 26 182 16 1.33 12.77 7.02 -3.55 -9.60
7 Sayar's Under 2.5 (A1) (SayarKyaw) Under 2.5 goals 25 116 6 1.82 16.74 14.43 -9.95 -11.43
8 deneme (GrandEkinoks) Underdog 24 301 9 6.34 76.22 25.32 -13.28 -26.52
9 HOMES YENİ SHARE (GrandEkinoks) Home Win 17 674 18 3.52 66.52 9.87 -25.62 -25.62
10 right favourite (bettingpro) Favourite 9 172 11 2.05 16.76 9.74 -11.27 -15.75

 

There are a lot of good strategies highlighted in this article, and it can be hard to know which ones to follow. So we have condensed them down into a final overall ranking of which strategies have performed the best over multiple categories. A number of these strategies have had updated versions shared, so we also include links to those. The filters and core concepts behind each of these strategies also provide an interesting starting point for future research and development of even better strategies for users who like to research their own private strategies.

No.1: Golden6.6 – Draws are in late 2.0 by Betaminic

This strategy is not exactly the same as the following “No Draws Medium Streak – Both Teams” strategy, but it is similar because it backs the draw against the trend in matches where a draw is due. This version has more picks per month and a higher yield of 30%. There is also an updated version of this strategy available that has almost the same filters applied to all the leagues in the expanded 111 league database called “Draw Due All 111 leagues”.  The fact that this strategy makes profit across all leagues is a really strong indicator that it has found a real trend that beats the public market on a regular basis. It was shared on November 1st 2021 and has made +37 points profit in just 3 months with a yield of 45%. We feel that this strategy may be following the same trend that the current top ranking draw strategies are following, but has better filters and more profit chance since it covers all the 111 leagues available.

No.2: No Draws Medium Streak – Both Teams by User Maxi

This strategy has so many positive key stats in its favour. It tops the profit rankings with +89.41 points and the Betaminic rating rankings with 100. It comes 5th in the yield rankings with 19.74%. It also has 453 bets in its Since Shared data set to support its trend. This is an excellent strategy to follow. Please note there is also an updated version of this strategy that applies the same strategy to filters to the expanded 111 league database called “No Draws Medium Streak – Both Teams (Updated 2021-11-15) All 111 leagues”.

No.3: Colossus 06 Scoring Away Overs by Betaminic

This strategy has consistently been in the top rankings for years on end (2018, 2019, 2020, 2021). While it does have its flat runs, it remains one of the most consistent long term strategies. There is an updated version of this strategy that uses the expanded 111 league database called “Colossus 06 Away Scoring Overs 34 of 111 leagues (2021-9-23)” that is also performing well with a yield of 7.53% after 158 bets since shared. We advise users interested in this strategy to follow the updated version.

No.4: Not home on. by User Adebola -> Updated version “Not home on. (Updated 2021-11-15) 93 of 111 leagues

No.5: Testing under 2.0  by User renantrevisan

No.6: TOM WHITAKER BSG 14 Two Dogs DC12 by User twsystem1bm -> Updated version “TOM WHITAKER BSG 14 Two Dogs DC12 (Updated 2021-11-16) 35 of 111 leagues

No.7: Sayar’s Under 2.5 (A1) by User SayarKyaw

No.8: deneme by User GrandEkinoks

No.9: HOMES YENİ SHARE by User GrandEkinoks -> Updated version “HOMES YENİ SHARE by User GrandEkinoks (Updated 2021-01-05) 30 of 111 leagues

No.10: right favourite by User bettingpro

 

Where do I start? How can we use this information? – Multi-Strategy Systems

No strategy makes a profit every month. They all have winning and losing months, but if we use a combination of strategies together in a portfolio of sports betting strategies, then we can reduce dependence on one strategy and spread risk. In the long term all these top strategies have shown that they make profit. If we put them together into a multi-strategy system, we can smooth out the monthly results and have fewer losing months. For this reason, even with the high profit strategies, it is wiser to use them as part of a multi-strategy system.

Betaminic has an aggregator function where we can put strategies together and see what the results are like. We can see how the yield, average odds, win rate, drawdown would change and how the monthly profits look. Next we have put the top strategies from the different categories into aggregated multi-strategy systems. You can see the results below. Decide what your priority is: profit, yield or low drawdowns. Then, you can use these grouped systems as they are or start adding strategies to your own multi-strategy system from the rankings above.

High Profit System

Here 5 of the top 10 by profit strategies have been put together, each following a different betting market pattern to spread risk. This is to create a profit focused system. For strategies where an updated version is available, we use the updated version.

Golden6.6 – Draws are in late 2.0 (draws) -> Updated version “Draw Due All 111 leagues”.

Colossus 06 Scoring Away Overs (over 2.5 goals) -> Updated version “Colossus 06 Away Scoring Overs 34 of 111 leagues (2021-9-23)

Not home on. (home win) -> Updated version “Not home on. (Updated 2021-11-15) 93 of 111 leagues

Deneme (underdog)

Away wins (away win)

This set of 5 strategies uses about 120 picks per month and makes an average profit of +16.66 points. Despite using 5 profit focusses strategies together, the maximum historical drawdown is only -49.9. So you could bet 2 points on each bet. Looking at the monthly profits we can see there are big winning months and flat months and a few losing months. If you tried this set it would be recommended to stick with it for 6 months and give it a chance to get through flat months into winning months.

High Yield System

Here 5 of the top 10 by yield strategies have been put together. This is to create a yield focused system. For strategies where an updated version is available, we use the updated version.

Golden6.6 – Draws are in late 2.0 (draws) -> Updated version “Draw Due All 111 leagues”.

Deneme (underdog)

Colossus 17 Dog Draw (Updated 2021-11-17) (draws)

Underestimated Underdog 30 of 111 leagues 4%+ yields (underdog)

U2.5 draw odds (under 2.5 goals)

This yield focussed set needs about 160 picks per month and its +12% yields generate an average profit of 19 points per month. Its monthly results look very strong recently with most months producing profit.

Low Drawdown System

Here 5 of the top 10 by low maximum drawdown strategies have been put together, each following a different betting market pattern to spread risk. This is to create a lower risk focused system. For strategies where an updated version is available, we use the updated version.

TOM WHITAKER BSG 14 Two Dogs DC12 (double chance home or away) -> Updated version “TOM WHITAKER BSG 14 Two Dogs DC12 (Updated 2021-11-16) 35 of 111 leagues

x 4 + (over 2,5 goals)

Sayar’s Under 2.5 (A1) (under 2.5 goals)

DENEME 8 YENİ STRATEJİ (double chance draw or away)

e2 (favourite)

While the previous profit and yield focusses sets had drawdowns near the -50 mark, this low drawdown focussed set only has a maximum drawdown of about -20. It has lower average odds of 1.67 and a higher win rate of 69% making this an easy set to follow. It averages about +6 points per month from an approximately 60 bets. It makes an excellent choice for new users to come in with smaller banks and bet 3-5s point per pick.

Best of 2021 System

In this set, we put together 9 of our top strategies. Since ”Golden6.6 – Draws are in late 2.0” and “No Draws Medium Streak – Both Teams” are quite similar, we only pick the first of them since it covers both. For strategies where an updated version is available, we use the updated version.

Golden6.6 – Draws are in late 2.0 (draws) -> Updated version “Draw Due All 111 leagues”.

No Draws Medium Streak – Both Teams (draws) -> Updated version “No Draws Medium Streak – Both Teams (Updated 2021-11-15) All 111 leagues”.

Colossus 06 Scoring Away Overs (over 2.5 goals) -> Updated version “Colossus 06 Away Scoring Overs 34 of 111 leagues (2021-9-23)

Not home on. (home win) -> Updated version “Not home on. (Updated 2021-11-15) 93 of 111 leagues

Testing under 2.0 (under 2.5 goals)

TOM WHITAKER BSG 14 Two Dogs DC12 (double chance home or away) -> Updated version “TOM WHITAKER BSG 14 Two Dogs DC12 (Updated 2021-11-16) 35 of 111 leagues

Sayar’s Under 2.5 (A1) (under 2.5 goals)

Deneme (underdog)

HOMES YENİ SHARE (home win) -> Updated version “HOMES YENİ SHARE by User GrandEkinoks (Updated 2021-01-05) 30 of 111 leagues

right favourite (favourite)

This large multi-strategy set produces around 200 picks per month with a yield of almost 12% giving an average monthly profit target of about 24 points. Despite including 9 strategies, it only has a drawdown of -50 points which is quite acceptable for so many strategies being used together.  Betting 1-2 points per pick would work for this set. The monthly results show a reasonably stable performance in 2021 and indeed for most of its history. This is a great example of how several strategies can be used together to smooth out individual strategy ups and downs.

 

In conclusion, Betaminic has many strategies that have been running for a long time and have a profitable pedigree supported by many bets in their data set. By looking at the “Since shared” view on the strategies page and looking at the Betaminic ratings, we can see the real winning betting strategies. From there we can choose those strategies that match our betting style and spread risk in multi-strategy systems to have fewer losing months and better profits in the future. With the recently expanded database increasing the number of leagues covered from 54 to 111 leagues, there are even more opportunities to backtest betting ideas and find betting strategies that worked historically and give us confidence to follow them in the future.

Which strategy set will you choose for 2022?

 

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